Publications
Polling Without People: Can Silicon Samples of CASM-Inspired LLM Personae Mimic Human Respondents in Pre-Election Polling?
Danielius Jonaitis, Brendan Corcoran, Binam Poudyal, Alexandra Roskam, Ava Alan Ali, Shriya Agrawal, Raymond Duch and Roberto Cerina
Silicon Politicians
Raymond Duch, Laurenz Guenther, and Raymond Low
Validating Digital Twins Against the People They Are Built From: A Pilot Study of Synthetic Respondents and Political Advertising
Raymond Duch and Laurenz Guenther
Validating LLM-Based Digital Interviews for Individual-Level Public Opinion: A Chilean Election Study
Raymond Duch, Roberto Cerina, and Matias Fuentes Becerra
Synthetic Predictions for Real Interventions: Augmenting Behavioral RCTs with Fine-Tuned LLMs
Tommaso Batistoni, Martina Beretta, Raymond Duch, Raymond Low
Public Opinion in the Age of AI
Raymond Duch, Joshua Clinton, Soubhik Barari, Ethan Busby, Trent Buskirk, Anna-Carolina Haensch, D. Sunshine Hillygus, Courtney Kennedy, Kevin Munger, Douglas Rivers, and Sean Westwood
Talking to Digital Twins: Selective Disclosure and Belief Measurement in Financial Social Media
Raymond Duch, Boone Bowles, Sorin M. Sorescu and Avanidhar Subrahmanyam
Artificially Intelligent Opinion Polling
Roberto Cerina and Raymond Duch
Efficient Randomized Experiments Using Foundation Models
Piersilvio De Bartolomeis, Javier Abad, Guanbo Wang, Konstantin Donhauser, Raymond M. Duch, Fanny Yang, Issa J. Dahabreh
The 2024 US Presidential Election PoSSUM Poll
Roberto Cerina and Raymond Duch