PoSSUM USA 2024 Presidential Campaign Vote Share Predictions (August 15-23, 2024)
Benchmarking August 30, 2024 forecast:
PoSSUM vs Polling Houses
Note: PoSSUM MRP are our primary forecasts. We also present PoSSUM Raw which are forecasts that have not been weighted using our MRP methods. “Spec. Mod.” are forecasts that exclude individuals that had highly speculative records assigned to them by the LLM.
For more details on the polling numbers…
